Research

Papers

Welcome to the Oxford-Man Institute (OMI) Research Papers repository. This collection showcases our leading interdisciplinary research at the intersection of quantitative finance, machine learning, and data science.

Date Written: July 28, 2026

Market Making With Fads, Informed, and Uninformed Traders

  • Emilio Barucci
  • Adrien Mathieu
  • Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt

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Date Written: January 23, 2025

Anonymity, Signaling, and Collusion in Limit Order Books

  • Álvaro Cartea
  • Patrick Chang
  • Rob Graumans

Website

Date Written: December 17, 2024

Optimal execution and speculation with trade signals

  • Peter Bank
  • Álvaro Cartea
  • Laura Körber

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Date Written: November 12, 2024

Strategic Bonding Curves in Automated Market Makers

  • Álvaro Cartea
  • Fayçal Drissi
  • Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt
  • David Šiška
  • Łukasz Szpruch

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Date Written: July 31, 2024

Deep Learning for Options Trading: An End-To-End Approach

  • Wee Ling Tan
  • Steve Roberts
  • Stefan Zohren

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Date Written: November 27, 2023

Transformers Can Solve Non-Linear and Non-Markovian Filtering Problems in Continuous Time For Conditionally Gaussian Signals

  • Blanka Horvath
  • Anastasis Kratsios
  • Yannick Limmer
  • Xuwei Yang

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Date Written: November 27, 2023

Deep Kalman Filters Can Filter

  • Blanka Horvath
  • Anastasis Kratsios
  • Yannick Limmer
  • Xuwei Yang

Website

Date Written: November 10, 2023

Multireference Alignment for Lead-Lag Detection in Multivariate Time Series and Equity Trading

  • Danni Shi
  • Mihai Cucuringu
  • Jan-Peter Calliess

Website

Date Written: November 08, 2023

Detecting Lead-Lag Relationships in Stock Returns and Portfolio Strategies

  • Álvaro Cartea
  • Mihai Cucuringu
  • Qi Jin

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Date Written: November 07, 2023

Detecting Toxic Flow

  • Álvaro Cartea
  • Gerardo Durán Martin
  • Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt

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Date Written: October 28, 2023

Predictable Losses of Liquidity Provision in Constant Function Markets and Concentrated Liquidity Markets

  • Álvaro Cartea
  • Fayçal Drissi
  • Marcello Monga

Website

Date Written: September 25, 2023

Correlation Matrix Clustering for Statistical Arbitrage Portfolios

  • Álvaro Cartea
  • Mihai Cucuringu
  • Qi Jin

Website

Date Written: September 20, 2023

Robust Detection of Lead-Lag Relationships in Lagged Multi-Factor Models

  • Yichi Zhang
  • Mihai Cucuringu
  • Alexander Y. Shestopaloff
  • Stefan Zohren

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Date Written: August 22, 2023

Network Momentum across Asset Classes

  • Xingyue Pu
  • Stephen Roberts
  • Xiaowen Dong
  • Stefan Zohren

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Date Written: July 07, 2023

Decentralised Finance and Automated Market Making: Execution and Speculation

  • Álvaro Cartea
  • Fayçal Drissi
  • Marcello Monga

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Date Written: June 28, 2023

Bandits for Algorithmic Trading with Signals

  • Álvaro Carteam
  • Fayçal Drissi
  • Pierre Osselin

Website

Date Written: June 26, 2023

Robust Hedging GANs

  • Yannick Limmer
  • Blanka Horvath

Website

Date Written: June 08, 2023

Deep Attentive Survival Analysis in Limit Order Books: Estimating Fill Probabilities with Convolutional-Transformers

  • Alvaro Arroyo
  • Álvaro Cartea
  • Fernando Moreno-Pino
  • Stefan Zohren

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Date Written: May 31, 2023

Mind Your Language: Market Responses to Central Bank Speeches

  • Maximilian Ahrens
  • Deniz Erdemlioglu
  • Michael McMahon
  • Christopher J. Neely
  • Xiye Yang

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Date Written: May 25, 2023

Automated Market Makers Designs Beyond Constant Functions

  • Álvaro Cartea
  • Fayçal Drissi
  • Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt
  • David Šiška
  • Łukasz Szpruch

Website

Date Written: May 12, 2023

Statistical predictions of trading strategies in electronic markets

  • Álvaro Cartea
  • Samuel N. Cohen
  • Rob Graumans
  • Saad Labyad
  • Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt
  • Leon van Veldhuijzen

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Date Written: April 22, 2023

Dynamic Portfolio Selection under Transaction Costs and Signal Decay

  • Nick Firoozye
  • Vincent Tan
  • Stefan Zohren

Website

Date Written: April 04, 2023

Optimal Stopping via Distribution Regression: A Higher Rank Signature Approach

  • Blanka Horvath
  • Maud Lemercier
  • Chong Liu
  • Terry Lyons
  • Cristopher Salvi

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Date Written: March 21, 2023

Execution and Statistical Arbitrage with Signals in Multiple Automated Market Makers

  • Álvaro Cartea
  • Fayçal Drissi
  • Marcello Mongo

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Date Written: March 06, 2023

Forecasting Realized Volatility with Spillover Effects: Perspectives from Graph Neural Networks

  • Chao Zhang
  • Xingyue (Stacy) Pu
  • Mihai Cucuringu
  • Xiaowen Dong

Website

Date Written: February 20, 2023

Spatio-Temporal Momentum: Jointly Learning Time-Series and Cross-Sectional Strategies

  • Wee Ling Tan
  • Stephen Roberts
  • Stefan Zohren

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Date Written: January 31, 2023

View fusion vis-à-vis a Bayesian interpretation of Black-Litterman for portfolio allocation

  • Trent Spears
  • Stefan Zohren
  • Stephen Roberts

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Date Written: January 19, 2023

Fin-GAN: Forecasting and Classifying Financial Time Series via Generative Adversarial Networks

  • Milena Vuletić
  • Mihai Cucuringu
  • Felix Prenzel

Website

Date Written: December 27, 2022

DeFi: Data-Driven Characterisation of Uniswap V3 Ecosystem & an Ideal Crypto Law for Liquidity Pools

  • Deborah Miori
  • Mihai Cucuringu

Website

Date Written: December 13, 2022

Algorithmic Collusion and a Folk Theorem from Learning with Bounded Rationality

  • Álvaro Cartea
  • Patrick Chang
  • José Penalva
  • Harrison Waldon

Website

Date Written: November 22, 2022

Decentralised Finance and Automated Market Making: Predictable Loss and Optimal Liquidity Provision

  • Álvaro Cartea
  • Fayçal Drissi
  • Marcello Monga

Website

Date Written: November 21, 2022

Graph-based Methods for Forecasting Realized Covariances

  • Chao Zhang
  • Xingyue (Stacy) Pu
  • Mihai Cucuringu
  • Xiaowen Dong

Website

Date Written: November 15, 2022

Brokers and Informed Traders: Dealing With Toxic Flow and Extracting Trading Signals

  • Álvaro Cartea
  • Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt

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Date Written: August 04, 2022

The Algorithmic Learning Equations: Evolving Strategies in Dynamic Games

  • Álvaro Cartea
  • Patrick Chang
  • José Penalva
  • Harrison Waldon

Website

Date Written: June 29, 2022

Conditionally Elicitable Dynamic Risk Measures for Deep Reinforcement Learning

  • Anthony Coache
  • Sebastian Jaimungal
  • Álvaro Cartea

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Date Written: May 26, 2022

AI Driven Liquidity Provision in OTC Financial Markets

  • Álvaro Cartea
  • Patrick Chang
  • Mateusz Mroczka
  • Roel C. A. Oomen

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Date Written: May 11, 2022

Algorithms and Supracompetitive Prices in Electronic Markets: The Impact of Tick Size

  • Álvaro Cartea
  • Patrick Chang
  • José Penalva

Website

Date Written: March 29, 2022

Graph Similarity Learning for Change-Point Detection in Dynamic Networks

  • Deborah Sulem
  • Henry Kenlay
  • Mihai Cucuringu
  • Xiaowen Dong

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Date Written: February 22, 2022

Canonical Portfolios: Optimal Asset and Signal Combination

  • Nikan Firoozye
  • Vincent Tan
  • Stefan Zohren

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Date Written: February 08, 2022

Volatility Forecasting with Machine Learning and Intraday Commonality

  • Chao Zhang
  • Yihuang Zhang
  • Mihai Cucuringu
  • Zhongmin Qian

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Date Written: December 16, 2021

Trading with the Momentum Transformer: An Intelligent and Interpretable Architecture

  • Kieran Wood
  • Sven Giegerich
  • Stephen Roberts
  • Stefan Zohren

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Date Written: November 20, 2021

Gradient-based estimation of linear Hawkes processes with general kernels

  • Álvaro Cartea
  • Samuel N. Cohen
  • Saad Labyad

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Date Written: May 28, 2021

Slow Momentum with Fast Reversion: A Trading Strategy Using Deep Learning and Changepoint Detection

  • Kieran Wood
  • Stephen Roberts
  • Stefan Zohren

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Date Written: May 21, 2021

Multi-Horizon Forecasting for Limit Order Books: Novel Deep Learning Approaches and Hardware Acceleration using Intelligent Processing Units

  • Zihao Zhang
  • Stefan Zohren

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Date Written: May 20, 2021

Enhancing Cross-Sectional Currency Strategies by Context-Aware Learning to Rank with Self-Attention

  • Daniel Poh
  • Bryan Lim
  • Stefan Zohren
  • Stephen Roberts

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Date Written: April 02, 2021

Strategic Execution Trajectories

  • Giuliana Bordigoni
  • Alessio Figalli
  • Anthony Ledford
  • Philipp Ustinov

Website

Date Written: March 25, 2021

Deep Reinforcement Learning for Algorithmic Trading

  • Álvaro Cartea
  • Sebastian Jaimungal
  • Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt

Website

Date Written: February 17, 2021

Deep Learning for Market by Order Data

  • Zihao Zhang
  • Bryan Lim
  • Stefan Zohren

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Date Written: December 10, 2020

Estimation of Large Financial Covariances: A Cross-Validation Approach

  • Vincent Tan
  • Stefan Zohren

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Date Written: November 05, 2020

Sentiment Correlation in Financial News Networks and Associated Market Movements

  • Xingchen Wan
  • Jie Yang
  • Slavi Marinov
  • Jan-Peter Calliess
  • Stefan Zohren
  • Xiaowen Dong

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Date Written: April 28, 2020

Time Series Forecasting With Deep Learning: A Survey

  • Bryan Lim
  • Stefan Zohren

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Date Written: April 09, 2020

Adaptive Robust Control in Continuous-Time

  • Theerawat Bhudisaksang
  • Álvaro Cartea

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Date Written: February 18, 2020

Online Drift Estimation for Jump-Diffusion Processes

  • Theerawat Bhudisaksang
  • Álvaro Cartea

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Date Written: November 22, 2019

Deep Reinforcement Learning for Trading

  • Zihao Zhang
  • Stefan Zohren
  • Stephen Roberts

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Date Written: June 11, 2019

Extending Deep Learning Models for Limit Order Books to Quantile Regression

  • Zihao Zhang
  • Stefan Zohren
  • Stephen Roberts

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Date Written: April 19, 2019

Enhancing Time Series Momentum Strategies Using Deep Neural Networks

  • Bryan Lim
  • Stefan Zohren
  • Stephen Roberts

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Date Written: November 25, 2018

BDLOB: Bayesian Deep Convolutional Neural Networks for Limit Order Books

  • Zihao Zhang
  • Stefan Zohren
  • Stephen Roberts

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